Vote Anti Incumbent

I think the stage is now close to being set for the McCain vs Obama 2008 Presidential elections.  Man is this going to be interesting. If there is in fact, McCain vs Obama, here are so many cross currents going on, no one knows for sure how this will come out.

I do get the feeling that Independents will favor Obama. At least he will shake things up a bit, maybe not as much as you may expect, but some for sure.  And many believe that may be a good thing, considering the disastrously coarse George Bush has put America on. 

John McCain definitely will be more of the same. He and George Bush are the closest of friends and both support each other. McCain has the lobbyist on his staff and the NY money Wall St. gangsters ready to go.  I would not be surprised to see the current head of Goldman Sachs lined up to be the next Secretary of Treasury, just like former Goldman people Hank Paulson and Bill Rubin. Before coming to Treasury, Paulson was Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Goldman Sachs since the firm’s initial public offering in 1999 Maybe he will make that idiot Jim Cramer Secretary of Treasury (just kidding on that one).

Isn’t it funny that the Southern States went for the black man while the liberal Northern states went for the party establishment politician, Hilliary Clinton.  It wasn’t just black folks in the South voting for Obama.

So the stage is set while final preparations are being done. The real action will start soon. How will you vote? 

The WSJ has an article saying Obama will be the Democratic candidate, now that former Senators Nunn of GA and David Boren of OK have endorsed Obama, it is all over.

They go on to say Obama has raised way more money and from his website and individuals. Ms. Clinton has not done as well and is going back to her machine repeatedly for money, which is getting old and has some detractors. 

I think I agree. It will be Obama vs McCain in November.

Looks like Obama is going to win this thing - and be the Democratic party candidate.  No wonder the Clintons are talking about a can’t lose ticket - with the both of them on it.   They wish.  It was admirable to hear Obama diss the idea - saying he is running for President and offering no moves toward a joint ticket with the Clintons.

Sean Hannity and the right wing radio crowd are now blasting Obama all day long. This tells me, they too believe Obama will be the Democratic candidate.  They really wanted to win, as they have waged wage on her for many years.  Also they know Independents may vote for Obama over McCain and his Republican friends.  So now all day long you will hear right wing radio blast Obama from even angle. Got to put a doubt in people’s mind.  Just like that blasted President Clinton (who was a far sight better than there man Bush).  But it doesn’t’ matter, the people who listen to that garage already have their minds made up.

By the way did you see McCain and President Bush all buddy buddy at the White House photo op.  I don’t think McCain realizes (or Bush for that matter) how low in respect Bush has fallen in the people’s eyes.  Why would you want Bush to support you??? 

Ann Coulter, conservative commentator says she will campaign for Hilliary Clinton if McCain is the Republican candidate.

James Dobson, right wing called Evangelical leader says he is deeply disappointed in the Republican party if McCain gets the nomination, which seems likely.

Rush Limbaugh, conservatives favorite talk show host, says McCain has stabbed the Republican party in the back numerous times.

So is the Republican party better off without the above characters and can they win without them. That is the predicament.  It seems like these characters are the reason the Republican party was lost to the social conservatives.  Can they retain their grip and stranglehold on the party?  Would the party be better without them?  As an Independent business man, these are the very people that have turned me off the Republican party.

Ron Paul says he will not drop out before the Republican convention. He says he will not endorse nor vote for John McCain, one reason being McCain love of perpetual war.

Tell him Mr. Paul!!

Polls show Obama will match up better than Clinton against McCain.  The conclusion was that Obama does better with men than Clinton and has less negatives.

With Obama’s wins in Washington and Nebraska, he is ties with Clinton. This prompts comparisons like made above on other than votes.

If this continues as a close race for the Democratics, it will costly in money, energy and split the party.

The leaders coming out of Super Tuesday 2008 are John McCain and Hillary Clinton.  These are the establishment candidates. CNBC just said Wall St. will be very comfortable with either of these candidates. There will be no surprises. They will know what to expect. 

Not to rule out Obama, but with a McCain vs. Clinton race, we are heading towards more of the same. Status Quo will be maintained, unless there is an upset by Obama for the Democrats. That is possible but not expected.

This may bode well for the stock market because as they always say “the one thing the stock market doesn’t like is uncertainty”.

My wife got on of those emails, you know the kind that a long list of people had emailed to everyone they knew.  It was about Obama.  It supposedly was from a military man that was upset before Obama did not salute the flag during the pledge of allegiance. As proof there was a photo of Obama hands down and Hilliary with hand over heart. They were on a platform.

In addition the email said Obama was a Muslim.

People think he must be one of those black people that converted and changed their name.

I had read Obama book a few months back and remembered him explaining the common misconception that he was a Muslim.  In the meantime I saw Obama on TV giving a speech in St Louis a couple of days ago.  He said people are sending around emails about him with untruths and specially mentioned these two items that were in the email my wife got, that he does not salute the flag and that he is Muslim.  He took the opportunity to address both of those issues.

Obama says he certainly does salute the flag during the pledge of allegiance and has done so since he was three years old.  When I saw the photo sent around in the email, I kind of thought that was pretty weak “evidence” as it could have been at the start or end of the ceremony.

He also said that his father was at one time a Muslim but by the time he was born, his father was no longer a Muslin.  His father left when he was three years only and had no influence on him above religion. Obama says he is a Christian and has been attending Church for over 20 years.

Obama easily defeated Hillary Clinton in the SC primary. Does this mean it is over for Hillary Clinton?  Clinton is leading in states like California and New York.  But Southern states may vote for Obama.

Comment: Interesting that Southern states vote for a black man and so called “liberal” states do not.

80 percent of Africian Americans voted for Obama.

Comment: Now that he won SC, that should give the signal it is OK to vote for Obama. This may pick up steam.

SC Polls now say US ready for a black or female president.

Comment: After George Bush, why not?

In SC, Economy and health care are top concerns, even above Iraq.

Ron Paul was in second place in Nevada, ahead of all other Republicans except Romney.  I really consider Ron Paul to be the only anti incumbent in the 2008 presidential race.  It is nice to see him do well.  He is doing better than some of the other Republican candidates who were sneering at him during the debates. Go man!

To me, Ron Paul makes the most sense when talking about the economy, one of the hot issues right now.  We have really gotten ourselves in a mess and those in charge are talking about more of the same, to fix the mess. We need someone like Ron Paul to steer a better coarse.

CNN reports Sen. John McCain was the projected winner of South Carolina’s Republican primary Saturday night despite a strong showing by former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee among the evangelical Christian voters who dominated the day’s turnout.

Comment: How can McCain win over someone who dominated the day’s turnout.

Exit polls found self-described evangelical Christians made up nearly 60 percent of the vote, and Huckabee — an ordained Baptist minister who emphasized his conservative Christian credentials — was the choice of 40 percent of those voters. But he took only 12 percent of the nonevangelical vote, while McCain took 40 percent and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, 21 percent

Comment: So Huckabee took only 12 percent of the nonevangelical vote.  Sounds like reverse vote against the dominating evangelicals.  They have been in power, or their man Bush has, for a long time and I think people don’t like the way things are going.

In 2004 John Edwards won this South Carolina primary.  Will he do it again in 2008?  Latest polls show Edwards in third place with Clinton second, and Barack Obama winning South Carolina primary.

On the Republican side, SC looks to put the skids on John McCain just like they did in 2004.  Latest polls show Romney in second place with Huckabee winning the South Carolin primary. The SC primary is this Sat. Jan 19, 2008.

Here in Georgia, which will vote their primary on Super Tuesday, hardly anything being heard from the Presidential candidates.  Rudy Giuliani was in Atlanta a couple of weeks ago, but I have heard no TV or Radio ads. No buzz at all.  I did see Ron Paul homemade banner on the GA 400 overpass yesterday. That’s about it.  Actually it is kind of nice. We will enjoy the silence while we can.  

Reports out this morning indicate Senator Kerry endorsing Barack Obama as well as the culinary union in Nevada.  This Obama campaign is is picking up stream with these two endorsements.

CNN TV is reporting that New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg may enter the Presidential race as an Independent.  The report says he is spending millions of his own money in polling across the country to get a feel for his possible entering as an Independent candidate. 

This follows Business Week’s prediction that Bloomberg will run for president, entering in February. So this prediction is right on course. Way to go Business Week.

If true, candidate Bloomberg would certainly shake things up, in an already shaky line up.

Hillary Clinton only has a 3 percentage lead with 75 percentage of precincts counted.  Overall counting Iowa, Clinton and Obama in a tie. Obama’s win in Iowa certainly helped increase his showing in New Hampshire, I think.  Now for South Carolina it is going to be the Democratic winner….. who knows… no one. As stated before, polls are not accurate. Usually the one ahead in the polls…. will not in fact be the winner.

It is clear now that Barark Obama is the anti incumbent candidate on the Democratic party side in this election. As evidence, most independents voted for him, women and minorities. He got quite a start winning Iowa and reportedly may do quite well in New Hampshire. Well shall see on Tuesday.

Ron Paul is the anti incumbent candidate on the Republican part side. He is shunned by the news media, TV and right wing radio.  He has a grass roots support from intelligent people and a big following on the Internet. He speaks straightforward and is clearly not part of the Establishment.

There seems to be no third party independents anymore.  I don’t even know who the Libertarian candidate is or was.  Funny, I voted for the Libertarian candidate last presidential election, but do not even know the candidate for the 2008 election.

Could Michael Bloomberg be an anti incumbent candidate? Hardly. He could be an Independent Party candidate but Mr. Mayor, Mr. Owns Everything could hardly be anti incumbent.

I scrolled down the posts I made recently and here is a post about a poll on Dec 25th, a few days ago.

 A new American Research Group poll in Iowa shows Sen. Hillary Clinton expanding her lead in the last week. Clinton now leads with 34%, followed by John Edwards at 20%, and Sen. Barack Obama at 19%.

What a joke.  Hillary came in third place, not first place.  Clinton expanding here lead. Not! What does this say about polls.  Polls mean nothing. Polls are incorrect and misleading.  The only poll that counts is the one on election day taking place at the voting booth.  End of story.

 Had to share this prediction from Business Week via Yahoo.

Bloomberg’s Historic Run
New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg will enter the Presidential race in February, after it becomes clear which nominees will get the nod from the major parties. His multiple billions and organization will impress voters — and stun rivals. He’ll look like the most viable third-party candidate since Teddy Roosevelt. But Bloomberg will come up short, as he comes in for withering attacks from both Democrats and Republicans. He and Clinton will split more than 50% of the votes, but Arizona’s maverick Senator John McCain, will end up the country’s next President.

Wow! That would be something to shake things up a bid. Bloomberg would be the anti incumbent candidate of 2008 (but not anti establishment).

Per CNN, Huckabee’s victory in Iowa can be attributed to his overwhelming support among Christian evangelical voters and women, according to CNN analysis of entrance polls.

Well that answers the question, will Evangelicals still have the power at the voting booth after putting George Bush in office. Remember this from 2004: According to surveys of voters leaving the polls, Bush won 79 percent of the 26.5 million evangelical votes.

Per the WSJ.com Voter interviews also suggested Mr. Romney’s Mormon faith may have been an issue. Many Christian conservatives view the religion with suspicion. Mr. Huckabee’s campaign drew a large number of evangelical Christians, who made up nearly 60% of all Republican caucus-goers, a sharp jump from the last competitive contest in 2000.

 Yes they do still have the power.  With the low popularity of President Bush, you would have thought it could have been a bach lash against putting another of the evangelical movement’s men in office.  But even the evangelicals were getting disgruntled with President Bush, not doing enough for them.

Looks like we are heading for more of the same.  Too bad Mr Jerry Fawell is not around to afford Mr Huckabee a great photo op about now.